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  • Writer's pictureLisa

Australian Housing Market Surged in 2022

Throughout the year of 2021, the house price Australia has broken new records on several fronts, leaving homebuyers to decide whether to buy now or wait until when more house prices will become available at more affordable costs. However, unless inflation continues to exceed wages at the current rapid rate, which could limit house buyer appetite, most experts predict that house demand will remain high in 2022. Future homebuyers are also feeling the pressure as a result of the rising inflation, as they can no longer afford to save as much for a down payment while real estate costs are increasing.

Regardless of whether you're a buyer or a seller, most experts predict that property house prices will rise in 2022, making you either happy or unhappy. While price growth may be hindered by obstacles such as rising mortgage rates and a big increase of Covid-19 cases, real estate price appreciation will continue to increase. While real estate property demand in Sydney and Melbourne suffered as a result of many people relocating away from these cities and international borders restricting the flow of new arrivals, demand was higher in the country's smaller capital cities and outer suburbs, decreasing supply and pushing house rates higher. Real estate property investment continued to increase throughout the year.

Meanwhile, a key trend seen throughout the pandemic is the desire for more real estate property, likely due to the rise in remote working. Throughout 2020, this led to a marked increase in the number of buyers searching for a three or more bedroom house. Significant price growth appears to be tempering this trend, and over 2021 there was a slight decrease in the number of searches for three-bedroom plus properties.

Throughout many ways, this has been a difficult year. With loan rates still at historic lows, increasing house prices exceeded all prior records three months later, with remarkable back-to-back quarters of house price increases above 8%. As first-home buyers flooded back into the house market in 2020, they were suddenly washed back out again by the pricing tsunami, with investors diving in to take their place. Low interest rates and continued house price growth due to the reduction in rental supply have made property investment more appealing, despite gross rental returns continuing to fall. This should result in more rentable stock and a decrease in rental price inflation.

From the end of December to late January, house market activity is normally very quiet, but experts are seeing some data pouring through that offers us an early insight on activity. House property values have increased across all of the big cities over the last week, according to early assessments, but Brisbane and Adelaide stand out with the best conditions, following the monthly trend. As people return to the city following the lockdowns and border re-openings, we may see some relief in regional and suburbs areas. Furthermore, after renting for a while and now choosing to stay, they may purchase property investment locally. As migration returns to the big cities, vacancy rates in Sydney and Melbourne are expected to tighten, resulting in some significant increase in the house markets.

The COVID Effect

As Omicron has already spread throughout the country. More than a million COVID-19 samples were detected in healthcare, hospitality, and supermarkets across the country. Since the new strain hit, residents in Sydney and Melbourne have been staying at home rather than going to the stores, according to ANZ spending statistics.

The pandemic has also acted as a catalyst for kick-starting and accelerating build-to-rent supply, as a lack of international arrivals and investors has pushed many traditional build-to-sell apartment developers to the new emerging sector, which manages to avoid the retail sales process and boosts faster property construction process.

It didn't take long for a "race for space" to take hold as people were pushed to convert their houses into offices and classrooms.

Wealthier people have moved out of cities and into suburbs residential areas with greater outdoor space, hoping to avoid their need to commute to central offices even when the pandemic is over. Many of them are in a better financial situation than they were before the outbreak because they have spent less on holidays and eating out, allowing them to put more money toward real estate investment.

Hayden Groves, the newly appointed president of the Real Estate Institute of Australia, said the property business was "bracing itself" for potential adjustments to deal with the Omicron strain, such as agents needing to segregate.

"One of the most significant threats will be to the property management industry, which is already a lean business model." There will be a lot of work if half of your employees are sick... and you need to chase things like rental arrears or show customers about a home.

The game changer that could reduce house prices is getting Covid under control enough to attract people to return to big cities. However, it believes that the opposite could happen, with a spike in Covid cases, for example, igniting interest in suburban real estate. In the event that the pandemic fades, there may be renewed interest in real estate property in congested metropolitan areas, particularly if businesses begin to demand that more workers return to their offices. Buyer demand could be greatly reduced, easing house price pressure in this case. As for how many more people with the resources to buy are concerned about where they live now and how the economy is doing.

Here's what's happened so far this year with real estate prices and what is in store for us in 2022:

Sydney house prices In 2021, Sydney was the second best-performing Australian house market, with many areas seeing house prices rise by more than 25%. Of course, Sydney’s property market has been one of the strongest and most steady performers throughout the previous four decades. Furthermore, experts believe there is still plenty of room for Sydney's property market to grow in the future. The following year However, as a surge of new home listings flooded the house market, the rate of house price growth is expected, giving buyers more options.

Melbourne house prices - Over the previous four decades, the Melbourne property market has been one of the strongest and most steady performers, just like Sydney’s property market. In November, however, the annual growth rate for Melbourne's property values was 16.3 percent, which is among the lowest among the major cities. But even so, major banks foresee Melbourne's house prices to rise in 2022, so there is reason to be hopeful. House prices in Melbourne are expected to rise another 7% in the coming year, according to ANZ. Meanwhile, Westpac predicts that Melbourne house prices will rise 8% in 2022 before dropping 6% in 2023.

Brisbane house prices - Brisbane housing values grew 2.9 percent in November and 7.4 percent in the quarter, according to Core Logic's Best of the Best report of property data leader, marking this year's fastest quarterly rise since 2002. In comparison to Sydney's property market 25.8 percent and Melbourne's 16.3 percent, Brisbane's yearly growth rate is currently 25.1 percent. Brisbane's house market is really not slowing down, according to experts, so if they're correct, Brisbane might be back on top next year.

Sydney's tremendous price growth, particularly for property value, not only underlined the impact of extraordinarily low borrowing rates, but was also attributable to the epidemic, according to Commonwealth Bank Head of Australian Economics Gareth Aird.

The price difference between houses and apartments represented the cost individuals were willing to pay for more property, as well as an increase in demand for outer suburbs and regions with fewer units, he said.

“As much as interest rates have had a massive impact on property prices, I think it’s COVID-related issues, particularly the changing work from home environment and people spending more time at home, that has put a premium on houses,” Mr Aird said.

He expected that real estate price growth will be more restrained in 2022, after previously forecasting another 7% increase, with house prices peaking in the second part of the year.

Other economists along with Mr. Aird, however is now expecting the Reserve Bank to raise interest rates in August as a result of strong inflation, a lower unemployment rate, and signs of wage growth, the house market was likely nearing its peak, as a rate increase would affect how much buyers were willing and able to take out loans. The increase in fixed interest rates, which is already begun, will have an influence on credit flow and prices, he noted.

While house prices have been rising at the fastest annual rate in 30 years, they have recently begun to cool, with the big four banks, as well as a number of the country's top economists, predicting that house prices will peak in the second half of 2022, buyer demand is being weighed down by increasing borrowing rates and fluctuations.

On the other hand, it's important to learn about the financial programs available to assist homebuyers with housing affordability and the house ownership process. We know that first-time homebuyer programs are unsustainable, and despite the government's home loan guarantee, properties continue to resist first-time purchasers. Taken together, the most important thing is to try to understand why the real estate market is increasing and what this implies for us in the short and long term. This will help us in planning and reacting in order to reduce economic stress. It may appear to be a trap, but passive tolerance, or worse, political apathy, will not solve the problem.

Most of us have a dream house in our heads, but being realistic when you start looking for a house property your hunt begins. Making the decision can be difficult! To help you make the best option, you must compare a number of aspects such as the cost and quality of living, as well as other important considerations.

Unless you have an exceedingly large budget, you will need to balance where you want to live against how you want to live. For those interested in property investment in living in the centre of Melbourne or Sydney, even a basic apartment, especially one with a view of the sea, is extremely expensive. The further away from the coast you go, the more cheap houses become: west for Sydney, north for Melbourne. Brisbane and Perth, for example, have miles of suburban sprawl for city dwellers looking for a larger detached house property with a garden while yet being close to a city. High rises and townhouse developments on Queensland's Gold Coast are ideal for anyone looking for a beach lifestyle on a budget.

Moving takes a lot of time, effort, and money, so there is plenty of potential for problems to occur. Preparing for the move, on the other hand, can help you deal with any obstacles that arise along the process and get you into your new house as soon as possible. We hope this article gives you an insight to the current real estate market in Australia.

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